| Comment | Not sure of the exact link in terms of temperature, but it might be helpful to think of the expected temperature increase this century and the expected sea level rise. As far as I remember, 2 degrees warming (above the pre-Industrial Revolution era average) by ~2060s is currently seen as the likely scenario, and I think between 2-3 degrees by ~2100 (assuming minimal mitigation). At the same time, here is what the most recent IPCC Report says about sea levels:
> "the likely global mean sea level rise by 2100 is **0.28-0.55m** under the very low GHG
emissions scenario, **0.32-0.62m** under the low GHG emissions scenario (SSP1-2.6), **0.44-0.76m**
under the intermediate GHG emissions scenario (SSP2-4.5), and 0.63-1.01 m under the very high GHG
emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5).
0.55m doesn't sound like much, but remember that's a global *average*. Some places will see higher sea level rises due to local factors such as tides, water salinity, and distance from the equator. On top of that, storm surges bring higher water levels. So while locations along the Clyde might cope okay at the moment during storm surges, that could be a very different story if sea level is just 0.5m higher in 60-70 years. |
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